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   The Dance of Chance : A Fifth Discipline Sourcebook 
Look ahead twenty or thirty years. Does anyone expect the next twenty years to be less tumultuous than the last twenty years? Given the changes expected in technology, biology, medicine, social values, demography, the environment, and international relations, what kind of world might humanity face? No one can say for sure, but one thing is reasonably certain: Continuing challenges will tax our collective abilities to deal with them. Failure to rethink our enterprises will leave us little relief from our current predicaments: rising turbulence causing rising stress; increasing disconnection and internal competitiveness; people working harder, rather than learning how to work smarter; and increasingly intractable problems beyond the reach of any individual or organization. If you are an organizational leader, someone at any level concerned deeply about these challenges, then you face a daunting task. In effect, you are engaged in a great venture of exploration, risk, discovery, and change, without any comprehensive maps for guidance.
  • The U.S. Army's highly innovative National Training Center uses elaborate practice fields, simulations, and "After Action Reviews" to build a sophisticated organizational self-awareness involving officers and enlisted men. The success of tactical operations in Desert Storm, Haiti, and Bosnia has been attributed to this new approach--and so has a recognizable leap in soldiers' capabilities and commitment.

 

 
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