DEMOS
Contiene los programas de demostracion del software Stella y Ithink . El alumno tiene la opcion de descargarlos a su disco duro si desea comparar las prestaciones de diferentes marcas de software.

LECTURAS COMPLEMENTARIAS DE TEORIA
Seleccionados y traducidos (ver detalle a continuación).

TRABAJOS SELECCIONADOS DE LAS CONFERENCIAS ANUALES
Selección de los mejores trabajos presentados (ver detalle a continuación).

BIBLIOGRAFIA

OFERTAS DE EMPLEO

MODELOS DE LOS ALUMNOS

(c) Vensim, Stella y ithink son Marcas Registradas. Se incluyen con autorizacion de los Propietarios. La reproduccion parcial del libro "La Quinta Discipina" se hace con autorizacion de Editorial Granica. Las lecturas complementarias de Teoria proceden de los Road Maps del MIT, con autorizacion del System Dynamics Group. Los trabajos incluidos de las Conferencias Internacionales se reproducen con autorización expresa de sus autores y de la System Dynamics Society.

Building a System Dynamics Model. Part 1. Conceptualization
Stephanie Albin
Trabajo que resalta que el proceso de elaboración de un modelo comienza en su primera fase: conceptualización.
36 páginas.

System Dynamics Meets the Press, an excerpt from The Global Citizen
Donella Meadows
Narración de las experiencias de una experta en Dinámica de Sistemas y sus esfuerzos para utilizar correctamente los conceptos sistémicos en la sociedad actual.
12 páginas. [con traducción]

Counterintuitive Behavior of Social Systems
Jay W. Forrester
Una introducción a los conceptos de Dinámica de Sistemas, discutiendo politicas sociales y las repercusiones derivadas del incompleto entendimiento de los sistemas complejos.
29 páginas. [con traducción]

ESTRUCTURAS GENERICAS

Introduction to the feedback systems
Leslie A. Martin
Se trata de una introducción a los sistemas físicos y sociales que presentan realimentación en su estructura, con abundantes ejemplos.
44 páginas [con traducción]

Generic Structures: First order positive feedback loops
Stephanie Albin y Mark Choudhari
Una introducción a la estructura genérica de los sistemas de realimentación positiva
19 páginas. [con traducción]

Generic Structures: First order negative feedback loops
Stephanie Albin
Una introducción a la estructura genérica de los sistemas de realimentación negativa
22 páginas.

Generic Structures: Oscillating Systems
Celeste Chung
Dos escenarios de la vida real que ilustran la transferibilidad de una estructura oscilante.
24 páginas.

Generic Structures: Overshoot and Collapse
Lucia Breierova
Una introducción a las estructuras genéricas que producen desboradamiento y colapso, usando varios ejemplos de la vida real.
40 páginas.

Generic Structures: S-shaped growth
Terri Duhon y Marc Glick
Una introducción a las estructuras genericas que producen crecimiento logistico.
30 páginas.

SISTEMAS COMPLEJOS

Beginner Modeling Exercises. Section 1. Answers to Beginner Modeling Exercises
Leslie Martin
Ejercicios modelando flujos constantes. Desarrolla la comprensión de las estructuras básicas Nivel-Flujo mediante ejemplos tomados de una amplia variedad de sistemas.
16 páginas. [con traducción]

Beginner Modeling Exercises. Section 2. Mental simulation of Positive Feedback
Joseph Whelan
Ejercicios simples sobre sistemas de realimentación positivos
15 páginas. [con traducción]

Beginner Modeling Exercises. Section 3. Mental simulation of Negative Feedback
Helen Zhu
Ejercicios simples sobre sistemas de realimentación negativos.
23 páginas.

Beginner Modeling Exercises. Section 4: Mental Simulation. Adding constant flows
Alan Coronado
Ejercicios simples introduciendo un flujo constante a los sistemas de realimentación positiva y negativa.
27 páginas.

Beginner Modeling Exercises Section 5: Mental simulation of Combining Feedbacks in First Order System
Laughton Stanley y Helen Zhu
Ejercicios simples de sistemas que producen crecimiento logistico
28 paginas.

CREACION DE MODELOS

Graphical Integration Exercises Part 1: Exogenous Rates
A.Oh
Una introducción a la integración gráfica de flujos constantes y funciones de flujo con saltos.
19 páginas.

Graphical Integration Exercises Part 2: Ramp Functions
Kevin Agatstein y Lucia Breierova
Integración gráfica de flujos linealmente crecientes y decrecientes
25 páginas.

Graphical Integration Exercises Part 3: Combining Flows
Kevin Agatstein y Lucia Breierova
Integración gráfica de flujos combinados de entrada y salida
32 páginas.

Graphical Integration Exercises. Part 4. Reverse Graphical Integration.
Laughton Stanley
Explicación y métodos del proceso inverso de integración gráfica, determinación del gráfico de flujo neto a partir del gráfico de nivel.
25 páginas.

Graphical Integration Exercises. Part 5: Qualitative Graphical Integration
Manas Ratha
Ejercicios que desarrollan una intuitiva y cualitativa comprension del proceso de integración gráfica.
33 páginas.

CASOS Y EJERCICIOS

Building the Fish Banks Model & Renewable Resource Depletion
Joseph Whelan y Matthew Halbower
Descipción del juego de la pesca y elaboración de un modelo del sistema de pesca.
57 páginas.

Problems with Causal Loop Diagrams
George Richardson
Una discusión de los diagramas causales y de los problemas inherentes a ellos.
13 páginas.

Teaching System Dynamics: Looking at Epidemics
Will Glass-Husain
Material para enseñar conceptos de Dinámica de Sistemas mediante un juego basado en la difusión de una epidemia.
58 páginas.

Unexpected Behaviors in Higher-Order Positive Feedback Loops
Aaron Ashford
Una discusión de los posibles comportamientos que pueden surgir en bucles de realimentación positiva de orden superior.
21 páginas.

Modeling Exercises. Section 2
Joseph Whelan
El primero de una serie de experiencias independientes de elaboración de modelos, explorando un modelo de dinamica urbana y ofreciendo un ejercicio de simulación mental.
35 páginas .

Oscillating System 2: Sustained Oscillation
Kevin Agatstein
Una detallada explicación de las causas estructurales de oscilación sostenida ilustrada con dos ejemplos de la vida real.
31 páginas.

The Credit Card Model
Manas Ratha
Un ejercicio de elaboración de un modelo de utilización de tarjetas de crédito para demostrar una característica del comportamiento de los sistemas complejos: beneficios a corto, pérdidas a largo plazo.
27 páginas.

SENSIBILIDAD Y SIMULACION

An Introduction to Sensitivity Analysis
Lucia Breieriva y Mark Choudhari
Una introducción a los conceptos y métodos de análisis de sensibilidad de modelos de Dinámica de sistemas.
40 páginas.

Dynamic Simulation Models: How Valid Are They?
Ramond Shreckengost
Nociones generales de varios tests que puden aplicarse a comprobar la validez de los modelos.
11 páginas.

PROBLEMAS Y ERRORES FRECUENTES

Mistakes and Misunderstandings. Examining Dimensional Inconsistency
Michael Shayne Gary
Examen de un modelo que contiene errores de inconsistencia dimensional y sugerencias para la mejora del modelo.
6 páginas.

Mistakes and Misunderstanding: Use of Generic Structures and the Reality of Stocks and Flows.
Lucia Breierova
Examen y corrección de un modelo, forzado a reproducir una estrcutura genérica, en el que los niveles no reflejan acumulaciones reales del sistema.
10 páginas.

Mistakes and Misunderstandings: Table Functions
Leslie Martin
Un artículo que explica como evitar errores y malas interpretaciones y formular funciones tabla, relaciones no lineales definidas gráficamente, robustas y dimensionalmente consistentes.
13 páginas.

ARTICULOS DE OPINION

A Skeptic's Guide to Computer Simulation Models
John Sterman
Una visión general de las diferentes técnicas de desarrollo de modelos de simulación, sus características, capacidades y limitaciones.
25 páginas.

Learning through System Dynamics as Preparation for the 21st Century
Jay W.Forrester
Notas de la conferencia del autor en el 1994 Systems Thinking and Dynamic Modeling Conference acerca de los propósitos y objetivos que deberían de ser alcanzados mediante una educación primaria basada en la dinamica de sistemas.
22 páginas.

System dynamics, system thinking and soft OR
Jay W. Forrester
La opinión del autor acerca de las diferencias entre la Dinámica de Sistemas, el Pensamiento Sistémico y la Investigación Operativa.
14 páginas

La Dinámica de Sistemas en el aprendizaje escolar
Jay W. Forrester
Se explican algunas experiencias Educativas de la Dinámica de Sistemas en la educación secundaria.
23 páginas. [con traducción]

Diseñando el Futuro
Jay W. Forrester
El autor comentar las posibilidades de aplicación de la Dinámica de Sistemas a las ciencias sociales y en el entorno empesarial.
11 páginas. [con traducción]

1.- Power Plant Performance: Identification Of A Relationship Between Availability, Reliability And Productivity

2.- An SD Approach For Assessing An Eventual Peace Process In Colombia

3.- Building A Sustainable Strategic Advantage In The Third Millennium: A Case Method Approach

4.- Project Performance Corporation The Doing Of Model Verification And Validation: Balancing Cost And Theory

5.- Structure-Oriented Behavior Tests In Model Validation

6.- Applying System Dynamics To Scenario Based Software Project Management

7.- How To Define A Profitable And Sustainable Growth Policy In A Changing Market: A Case Study: A Small Publishing Company

8.- The Opportunity Cost Of Solving Problems: The Role Of Testing In Product Development

9.- The Development Of Internet- And Intranet Enabled Enterprise-Wide Knowledge Bases: The Case Of System Dynamics Applications In The United States Air Force, 1975-2000

10.- Do Numerical Simulation And Optimization Results Improve Manangement? Experimental Evidence

11.- Social Learning Laboratory For Urban Sustainability

12.- A Methodological Framework For Integrating Systems Thinking And System Dynamics

13.- Evaluating The Impact Of System Dynamics Based Learning Environments: Preliminary Study

14.- The Rotten Mango: The Effect Of Corruption On International Development Projects

15.- Bounded Rationality In The SD Approach For Energy Modelling

16.- A System Dynamics Analysis Of The Effects Of Capacity Limitations In A Multi-Level Production Chain

17.- Microworld For Training Traders In The Colombian Electricity Market

18.- System Dynamics Analysis Of Stability During Non-Equilibrium Stage In Physical Distribution

19.- Limits To Growth On The New Economy: An Exploration Of The Get Big Fast Strategy In Dot.Com's

20.- Implementing Formal Model Analysis

21.- A Simulation Methodology Unifying System Dynamics And Business Objects

22.- Dynamics In Spatial Logistic Chains

23.- Options In Source Code Documentation

24.- Business Modeling Process

25.- Physician Decisions As A Source Of Variation In Chronic Disease Outcomes

26.- Simulation Of Qualitiative Models To Support Business Scenario Analysis

27.- Genetic Simulated Annealing Algorithm With Selective Generation

28.- Hybrid Modelling: System Dynamics Combined With Multi-Criteria Analysis

29.- System Dynamics Practice In A Non-Ideal World: Modelling Defence Preparedness

30.- Value And Risk Evaluation Of Power Projects: A System Dynamics Approach

31.- Object Oriented Extensions To System Dynamics

32.- Industrial Dynamics To Systems Thinking

33.- Object Oriented Design Patterns And System Dynamics Components

XX INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE

1.- Developing a Balanced Scorecard with System Dynamics.

2.- Optimal Neural Feedback Control for Carbon Tax Policy Gauging in Transportation.

3.- Autorregressive Models and System Dynamics: A Case Study for the Labour Market in Spain.

4.- Coordination Between Monetary Policy and Fiscal Policy by Means of a Model of Dynamic Simulation.

5.- A System Dynamics Model to Analyze Investments in Power Generation in Colombia.

6.-Quick and Rigorous, Strategic and Participative: 12 Ways to Improve on the Expected Tradeoffs.

7.- A Scoping and Consensus Building Model for Understanding the Dynamics of a Blue-Green Algae Bloom.

8.- System Dynamics Applied to Epidemics.

9.- Studying a Multi-Dimensional ProblemUsing System Dynamics: The Case of Sustainability in the Semi-Arid Argane Forest in Morocco.

10.- Advancing the Frontiers of System Dynamics Through Higher Order of Paradox.

11.- Entrepreneurial Personal Drive Becoming a Limit to the Company Potential: An Organizational Dynamics Perspective from a UK Technology Start-up Case.

12.- Banking Back Office Processing Behavior: Considerations on a Process Activity Managed by Capacity Saturation Policies.

13.- Building a Sustainable, In-House System Dynamics Capability: How an Internal System Dynamics Group Can Develop a Distinctive Service and Become an Enduring Component of the Company's Operations.

14.- A System Dynamics Analysis of the Westray Mine Disaster.

15.- Long Term Consequences of Genetically Modified Crops in Agriculture.

16.- A Dynamic Theory of the Service Management: Implications for Managing Service Improvements Avoiding the 'Service Jungle'.

17.- Play with the Ants to Understand CASOS.

18.- When Do Minor Shortages Inflate to Great Bubbles?

19.- Policies Influencing the Diffusion of Instant Messaging.

20.- Policy Optimization in Dynamic Models with Genetic Algorithms.

21.- Economic Effects of Decentralization of Government with People Empowerment: An International Comparison of Four Asian and European Rural Localities.

22.- The Dynamic Spatial Simulation Modeling of teh Effects of Land Use Change on Avian Species.

23.- A Generic Tool Based on a System Dynamics Approach to Assess SME Business Stability and Help Designing Business Tactics and Action Plans within Transient, Non-Stationary Conditions.

24.- Business Transformation Success Dynamics: It's the Communication.

25.- Solutions to Improve Performance in the UK House Building Supply Chain: The Use of A System Dynamics Model.

26.- A System Dynamics Model for the UK Private House Building Supply Chain.

27.- Is Explicit Information Important for Performance in System Dynamics?

28.- Alternative Modeling Approaches: A Case Study in the Oil and Gas Industry.

29.- System Dynamics Model Development of the canary Islands for Supporting Strategic Public Decisions.

30.- Integrative Mechanisms in New Product Development Projects: Effect of Project Complexity on Project Performance: A System Dynamics Approach.

31.A Simulation Study of Domestic Rice Distribution Under New Japanese Food Law of 1994.

32.- A Dynamic Model for the Development of New Technologies for Ship Systems.

33.- Growing Vacationland by Retaining and Attracting Knowledge Workers.

34.- Environmental Carrying Capacity of the Seoul Metropolitan Area: Estimation, Implication and Limitations.

35.- Savings-Investments Model in Egypt.

36.- Repeated Overshoot and Collapse Behavior: An Example from the Petroleum Industry.

37.- Air Traffic Controller Manpower Planning Modeling: A Learning Platform for Understanding the Staffing Process.

38.- Modeling the Dynamic Complexity of the Energy Policymaking Process.

39.- Design of Information Systems: Simulating the Effectiveness of Knowledge Transfer Throughout the Systems Analysis Phase.

40.- State Policies on Self-Sufficiency in Agricultural Section of Iran.

41.- Symphony of Eigenvalues: A Prototype for Sonification in System Dynamics.

42.-System Approach to Business Rules.

43.- Dynamics of Schedule Presure in Software Projects.

44.- Use of Financial System Dynamics Models in Local Government.

45. A Historical Fit of a Model of the US Long Wave.

46.- SIMTRANS (Freight Transportation Simulation Model)

47.- Evaluating Economic Feasibility of Environmentally Sustainable Scenarios by a Backcasting Approach with ESCOT (Economic assessment of Sustainability Policies of Transport).

48.- Short Versus Long-Term Dynamics: The Example of Ecological Management.

49.- System Thinking by Stealth: How to 'Wash the Great Unwasted'?

50.- Decision Rules and assumptions in Overexploitation of Renewable Resources.

XXI INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE

1.- The Obesity Problem. Is it a State In Mind ? Tarek Abdel-Hamid

2.- System Dynamics at the Design-Science Interface. Henk Akkermans

3.- Boom and Bust Shrimp Aquaculture. Steven Arquitt

4.- Misperception of Dynamics in Military Planning. Bjorn Tallak

5.- Models for National Planning. Gerald Barney

6.- Simulating Health and Social Care Delivery. Steffen Bayer

7.- A Sustainability Assessment of the Urban Rehabilitation Project. Salim Belyazid

8.- Managing Intellectual Capital through Interactive Learning Environments Based on System Dynamics and Accounting Models. Carmine Bianchi

9.- Using Simulation to Produce a Data Fusion Decision Support Tool for the Assessment of Manmade and Natural Dusasters. Donald Brown

10.- Service Quality and Customer Abandonment. Massimiliano Caramia

11.- Twelve-Year-Olds Learning Mathematics with System Dynamics. Mariene de Fatima Ochoa

12.- Economic Dynamics in Mobile Service Industry. Yueping Chen

13.- An Application of a System Dynamics Model to Evaluate Information and System Performance. Ik Jae Chung

14.- A distributed System Dynamics-Based Framework for Modeling Virtual Organizations. Bryan Conneely

15.- Are you vMad to Go for Surgery? Risk assessment for Transmission of vCJD via Surgical Instruments. Stephen Curram

16.- Extreme Event Agenda Setting and Decision Making. Michael Deegan

17.- Building a Theory of Open Online Collaboration Using System Dynamics. Vedat Diker

18.- A Basis for Understanding Fishery Management Complexities. Richard Dudley

19.- Latin and South America: A Case Study of Emergent Geopolitical Viruses. Evan Ellis

20.- A Conceptual Model of Operating Internet-based B2C Business in fast-growing Industries. Yulin Fang

21.- Modeling Real Options to Switch Among Alternatives. David Ford

22.- The Dynamics of Resource Sharing and Organizational Slack in the Growing Multibusiness Firm. Michael Shayne

23.-A Simulation Based Approach to Understanding the Dynamics of the Transition from Product Manufacturer to Service Provider. Heiko Gebauer

24.- Understanding Schedule Unreliability: A Case Study of a Facility-Tooling Project. Nuno Gil

25.- A System Dynamics View of an Island Energy System. Paraskevas Gravouniotis

26.- Information Sharing to Reduce Fluctuations in Supply Chains: A Dynamic Feedback Approach. Baris Gunduz

27.- Dynamic Process Management towards Sustained Compliance and Benefit Clinical Research. Rita Hattemer-Apostel

28.- Modeling Human Behavior as a Factor in the Dynamics of an Outbreak of Pneumonic Plague. John Heinbokel.

29.- Acquiring Higher-Order Knowledge Using the System Dynamics Approach in Teaching Business Subjects. Stefanie Hillen

30.- Economic Dynamics of R&D: Analysis of Technology and Development. Olli-Pekka Hilmola

31.- Modern Electronics: Teaching Economics to High School Students with a System Dynamics Simulator. Gary Hirsch

32.- Constructing Numerical Reference Modes from Sparse Time Series. Peter Hovmand.

33.- Another Modeling Approach: using a Novice to Do the Job - Courage to Take a Risk and You Will Have a Star ! Chia-Ming Hsu

34.- Development of a Simulator for Social Dynamics and Agent-Based Models. Kazunari Ishida

35.- System Dynamic Modeling of Engineered Landfill Covers. Jacob Jacobson

36.- An Examination of the Timing of Investments for Pay TV Operators. Daniel Jarosch

37.- A System Dynamics Model of the Development Cycle for Future Mobility Vehicles. Taewoo Kang

38.- Understanding the Dynamics of Information System Use. Shivraj Kanungo

39.- Behavioral Causes of the Bullwhip Effect in Supply Chains. Elena Katok

40.- A Comparison of the Application of Performance Indicators, System Dynamics Models and the Holon Framework to Quality Assessment. Michael Kennedy.

41.- Policy and Outcome Contrasts in the Evaluation of the Effects of Structural Change in Swiss Mountain Agriculture. Birgit Kopainsky

42.- Methods of Communication in Urban Planning and Development. Lubomir Kostron.

43.- System Dynamics of Optimal Commencement Timing for Office Building Construction. Max Kummerow

44.- Industry Evolution: A Dynamic Behavioral Model. Martin Kunc

45.- Dyadic Dynamics in Interpersonal Cycles. Harold Kurstedt

46.- Models of Attitude and Belief Change from the Perspective of System Dynamics.. Ralph Levine

47.- On the Confounding of Overshoot and Collapse Predictions by Economic Dynamics. Corey Lofdahl

48.- Lessons From Simple Stock and Flow Models. Roderick MacDonald

49.- System Dynamics and a Product-Market Matrix for Strategic Planning. Ali Mashayekhi

50.- On the Relation between System Dynamics and Soft Systems Methodology in Consulting. Stephen McIntosh

51.- Why Customer Choose Your Product. Rutger Mooy

52.- Peer Influence en Educational Reform. Don Morris

53.- System Thinking and Economics Teaching. Alfredo Moscardini

54.- System Dynamics in Six Sigma Practice. Paul Newton.

55.- Dairy Policy and Price Volatility. Charles F.Nicholson

56.- Dynamics of a System as a Process of Realization of its Potential. Grigorii Pushnoi.

57.- A Dynamic Model of Spatial Planning in Metroplotan Areas. Jaziar Radianti.

58.- Methodological Problems in the Formulation and Validation of System Dynamics Models Incorporating Soft Variables. Santanu Roy

59.- Development of Multiplanyer Games through Group Modeling. Morten Ruud.

60.- Modeling the Forest or Modeling the Trees. Nadine Schieritz.

61.- Linking Balanced Scorecard to System Dynamics. Frank Schoeneborn.

62.- Geniusys: Systematically Developing Genius. Rohita Singh

XXII INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE

1.- Embedding Game-Theoretic Concepts into System Dynamics Models: The Case of Complementary Products Development

2.- A System Dynamics Approach to a Chemist's Inventory and Finance Management.

3.-From Ivory Towers to Learning Organizations: The Role of System Dynamics in the "Managerialization" of Academic Institutions.

4.- Using Simulations to Define the Product Development Strategy Expected to Achieve the Shortest Time to Profitability.

5.-Perception of Information Value Production of Influence Diagrams versus Level-Rate Models: The Opinion of Decision-Makers .

6.- The Dynamics of Agricultural Commodities and Their Responses to Disruptions of Considerable Magnitude .

7.- Extreme Event Policy Analysis: Identifying Stakeholders and Preferences for Natural Hazard Mitigation Policies.

8.- Analyzing Stakeholder Dynamics in Environmental Conflict: A New Zealand Transport Infrastructure Project.

9.- Simulating the Urban Transformation Process in the Haaglanden Region, the Netherlands.

10.- Operational Labor Productivity Model.

11.- Modeling the Irrigation System in Egypt.

12.- System Dynamics Student Projects as Quality Improving Process.

13.- Corporate Restructuring Dynamics: A Case Study Analysis.

14.- Warehouse Optimization in an Uncertain Environment.

15.- Simulating the Evolution of Industries Using a Dynamic Behavioral Model.

16.- Understanding the Learning Process in Work Groups.

17.- Dynamics of Food-Prey-Predator Systems and Agricultural Practices.

18.- Global Warming and Gaia Theory: A Systems Approach.

19.- A Time-Based Innovation Strategy Game.

20.- Modeling Modern Maintenance: A System Dynamics Model Analyzing the Dynamic Implications of Implementing Total Productive Maintenance.

21.- A Simulation Model for Organizational Evolution.

22.- A Dynamic Diffusion Model for Managing Customer's Expectation and Satisfaction.

23.- A Critical Review of the Use of System Dynamics for Organizational Consultation Projects.

CURSOS DE ESPECIALIZACION A DISTANCIA
EN CREACION DE MODELOS DE SIMULACION

Creación de Modelos en Ecología y Medio Ambiente